OpenAI Halts ChatGPT’s Election Predictions After Inaccurate Responses




ChatGPT chatbot with a crossed-out election symbol in a speech bubble, indicating stopped election predictions.

OpenAI’s ChatGPT, a widely-used generative AI chatbot, will no longer answer questions about future election results after providing incorrect information. This decision follows reports that the AI had inaccurately predicted outcomes for the UK general election and other significant votes.

Key Takeaways

  • ChatGPT will no longer provide answers to questions about future election results.
  • The AI had previously given incorrect predictions for the 2024 UK general election and other votes.
  • OpenAI has implemented a fix to prevent the AI from answering such questions.
  • Other AI chatbots, like Google’s Gemini and Meta’s Llama 2, also avoid answering election-related questions.

ChatGPT’s Inaccurate Predictions

Sky News reported that ChatGPT had incorrectly predicted the results of the 2024 UK general election, claiming a significant victory for the Labour Party with 467 seats, while the Conservatives would secure only 101 seats. The AI also inaccurately stated that Joe Biden would win re-election against Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election.

When asked about the 2024 European Parliament elections, ChatGPT provided detailed but incorrect breakdowns of seat distributions and political shifts.

OpenAI’s Response

In response to these inaccuracies, OpenAI has implemented a fix to ensure ChatGPT no longer answers questions about future election results. Instead, the AI now directs users to authoritative sources like the UK Electoral Commission website. A spokesperson for OpenAI stated, “We’ve applied this fix to many queries already and are working urgently to ensure it is applied broadly.”

The Role of Generative AI

Generative AI, like ChatGPT, can create new sentences, images, videos, and computer code from scratch. These systems are trained on large datasets, primarily sourced from the internet. Since its launch in November 2022, ChatGPT has seen widespread use for studying, learning, and even working, with 100 million unique visitors and 590 million views reported in January 2023.

Comparisons with Other AI Chatbots

Other AI chatbots have also taken measures to avoid providing election-related information. Google’s Gemini, for instance, is restricted from answering such questions in countries where voting is taking place. Meta’s Llama 2 similarly refrains from providing election results, stating that future elections have not yet occurred.

Expert Opinions

Chris Morris, CEO of the UK-based fact-checking organization Full Fact, emphasized the importance of critical thinking when encountering information online. “It’s a reminder that whenever we see anything online, we should think critically about its accuracy,” he said.

Elizabeth Seger, director of the Centre for the Analysis of Social Media at Demos, highlighted the unreliability of AI for high-stakes questions. “People should not use AI as a tool to gather factual information for important decisions,” she advised. “It’s great for summarizing and creative content, but not for acting as a search engine.”


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